« Homogenizin': Hey, My Tucson Station Is Now Surrounded by a Big Heat Island and the Nearby Grand Canyon Station Remains Pristine, So You Know What I'ma Do? I'ma "Homogenize" 'Em.
Hey Look! Now They Show Warming!
| Main | Planned Parenthood Dishonestly Tells... Oh the Hell With the Headline You've Already Read the Story »
December 10, 2009

More Homogenizin': CBS/NYT Poll Keeps Obama at 50%, Barely, By Homogenizing Sample With Poll of Helen Thomas' Ladies-Only Combination Book Club and Cat Fashion Revue
CNN: Dems are Screwed

Well, it's kind of like homogenizin', in the sense we are "adjusting" numbers based on what feels right. In this poll, CBS/NYT got 7% more Democrats than Republicans, and that didn't seem right to them... so they weighted the two so that the Democrats had a nine point edge.

Result? They keep Obama at 50%, and only that.

resident Obama’s job approval rating sits at 50 percent in the latest CBS News/New York Times poll, the lowest level it has reached in CBS News polling.

...

In April, Mr. Obama’s approval rating was 68 percent. By August, it was down to 56 percent. It dropped to 53 percent last month before falling another three points in the latest poll.

...

Americans cite the economy as the issue most important to them, and on that issue the president’s approval rating has been in decline. It now sits at 47 percent, down two points from last month and down seven points from October.

I don't get the weighting. When Gallup says "We don't weight for party ID," I defend them, because their argument -- "Party ID is not fixed; it shifts frequently" -- seems sound.

When Rasmussen does weight, I also agree with that, because while party ID shifts, sometimes a poll just plainly gets too many of one party or the other, and some weighting seems in order.

What I don't get is when a poll shows a 7% party ID advantage for Democrats, which is actually higher than Gallup's last poll indicated (they found a 6% advantage), and CBS/NYT decides to "correct" it... up to 9% advantage.

Next revelation: The GHCN temperature history for Seattle has been "homgenized" with CBS/NTY's polling. In the homogenization process, where the two completely different data sets are "averaged," both temperature and Democrat Party ID went up, and now, in fact, threaten to destroy the earth.

CNN Generic Ballot? Democrats By a Single Point. Oooofaaa.

And: opposition to ObamaCare hits 60%.

sen61.jpg

More at the link.


Giggle: Poll finds Savior of Mankind preferred by narrow margin, 50%-44%, over the Prince of Lies George Bush.


digg this
posted by Ace at 02:50 PM

| Access Comments




Recent Comments
Economic Psychic & Certified Genius Paul Krugman: "20 We will probably hit Dow 25K this week. BOO ..."

SH: "Speaking of private schools, did Ted Cruz' 529 ame ..."

Bigby's Groping Hands: "I don't see it. ..."

WhatWhatWhat?: "First there was a painting, then there was no pain ..."

Hadrian the Seventh: " [i]Lefties friends on FB actually saying Venezue ..."

Jwest: ""But, then, what would the teachers union do? Thin ..."

Roy: "If we walk down the road, will we be able to see t ..."

Jwest: ""The school we send our kids to (private, christia ..."

joe, living dangerously: "I've got one sealed in the package waiting until I ..."

t-bird: "Is this the [i]Emperor's New Painting[/i] or somet ..."

Kris: "12 We studied this one in my art history course. ..."

grammie winger - O Come Let Us Adore Him: "Paul had been a farrier, but went into evangelism ..."

Recent Entries
Search


MuNuvians
Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
News/Chat
Archives
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64