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October 26, 2009

Weak-Sample Club for Growth Poll Puts Hoffman Ahead

I say "weak" because they polled 300 people, and I thought that 400 was basically the industry minimum for reliable numbers.

The poll of 300 likely voters, conducted October 24-25, 2009, shows Conservative Doug Hoffman at 31.3%, Democrat Bill Owens at 27.0%, Republican Dede Scozzafava at 19.7%, and 22% undecided. The poll’s margin of error is +/- 5.66%. No information was provided about any of the candidates prior to the ballot question.

And it's not a poll by a disinterested third party. Club for Growth is running ads for Hoffman.

Still. Not bad news, certainly.

Context: The Hill notes the last Club-for-Growth poll had it as a 3-way tie, when no other polls showed Hoffman in such a strong position.

Just tryin' to keep it real.

posted by Ace at 12:57 PM

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The poll of 300 likely voters, conducted October 24-25, 2009, shows Conservative Doug Hoffman at 31.3%, Democrat Bill Owens at 27.0%, Republican Dede Scozzafava at 19.7%, and 22% undecided. The poll’s margin of error is +/- 5.66%. No information was provided about any of the candidates prior to the ballot question. And it's not a poll by a disinterested third party. Club for Growth is running ads for Hoffman. Still. Not bad news, certainly. Context: The Hill notes the last Club-for-Growth poll had it as a 3-way tie, when no other polls showed Hoffman in such a strong position. Just tryin' to keep it real. posted by Ace at 12:57 PM \| Access Comments <script language="javascript" src="http://adserver.adtechus.com/addyn/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=700;cookie=info;target=_blank;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]"></script><noscript><a href="http://adserver.adtechus.com/adlink/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=300;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]" target="_blank"><img src="http://adserver.adtechus.com/adserv/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=300;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]" border="0" width="300" height="250"></a></noscript>	Recent Comments BifBewalski [/i][/u][/s][/b]: "fourth ..." BifBewalski [/i][/u][/s][/b]: "third ..." BifBewalski [/i][/u][/s][/b]: "swcond ..." BifBewalski [/i][/u][/s][/b]: "art on a weekend? ..." BifBewalski [/i][/u][/s][/b]: "I have turned into Biden - I just almost tripped g ..." Captain Obvious, Laird o' the Sea: "What kind of wine do you serve with minotaur? 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