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October 26, 2009

Weak-Sample Club for Growth Poll Puts Hoffman Ahead

I say "weak" because they polled 300 people, and I thought that 400 was basically the industry minimum for reliable numbers.

The poll of 300 likely voters, conducted October 24-25, 2009, shows Conservative Doug Hoffman at 31.3%, Democrat Bill Owens at 27.0%, Republican Dede Scozzafava at 19.7%, and 22% undecided. The pollís margin of error is +/- 5.66%. No information was provided about any of the candidates prior to the ballot question.

And it's not a poll by a disinterested third party. Club for Growth is running ads for Hoffman.

Still. Not bad news, certainly.

Context: The Hill notes the last Club-for-Growth poll had it as a 3-way tie, when no other polls showed Hoffman in such a strong position.

Just tryin' to keep it real.


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posted by Ace at 12:57 PM

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