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August 25, 2009

Cowbell: Obama Net Approval on Gallup Falls to New Low

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51-42, a mere plus 9. AHFF Geoff notes that in their last written update, Gallup wrote:

Obama still enjoys a double-digit gap between his average approval and average disapproval scores -- 11 percentage points for the week of Aug. 17-23.

Not so much anymore. I'd like to see if Gallup notes he's lost his double-digit net approval rate in their next written update, or if they only want to call attention to such things when they break in Obama's favor. Maybe next time they'll tell us "Obama still exceeds the 'Lucky 7' differential in his approve and disapprove rates."

Jay Cost analyzes the Obama's "worst poll number:" approval among seniors.

Yet, Obama's worst poll number here is actually his share among seniors. I'm guessing it relates to the health care debate. The White House should be very concerned, and for one simple reason: seniors vote.

In many swing states, seniors' fraction of the vote dropped off in 2008 due to increased numbers of voters (especially young ones). But in a midterm, it's likely that seniors will once again play kingmakers.

Obama's approval with 65 and older voters is 43%.


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posted by Ace at 05:09 PM

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