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April 23, 2009

More Good News...Things May Be Heating Up Again Between Georgia And Russia

After late last night's/early this morning's news from Pakistan, this should make everyone even more comfortable....Russia and Georgia might be about to go at it again.

Last week the Russians told NATO if they had any plans to train with Georgia to cancel them and then the Russians deployed the 22 ships of their Black Sea Fleet.

That was followed earlier this week by a redeployment of Russian ground forces.

Russia has stationed its forces just 25 miles (40 kilometers) from the Georgian capital, in violation of the EU-brokered cease-fire that ended last year's brief war. And in recent weeks, it has sent even more troops and armored vehicles to within striking distance of the city ahead of street protests against Georgia's president.

And now comes word of an overnight exchange of gun fire along the administrative border separating Georgia from its breakaway region of South Ossetia.

Yankee Sailor is following this and has gamed out what a Russian attack might look like from the Russian perspective and what the Georgian defense effort might look like.

Remember when the Russians moved last year, it wasn't the Georgian military that prevented total defeat but political pressure, including the dispatch of US and NATO assets to the area.

Something tells me Obama won't be acting as swiftly and forcefully as Bush did.

Remember that Obama's first reaction last summer was to blame both sides for the violence. Only after cribbing from McCain did he put the blame on the Russians for their aggression.

I don't think the Russians are as interested in hitting the 'Reset' button as they are the 'Let's Finish It' button.

Gird your loins indeed.


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posted by DrewM. at 04:45 PM

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