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December 19, 2008
Worst. Election. Ever.: Nate Silver Predicts Franken Will Win by 40-70 Votes
Gee, those 100 Franken ballots suddenly discovered turn out to be crucial, eh?
This all turns now on what happens with the challenged ballots as they're resolved. Most will go to the candidate for whom they originally were credited to. We're going through challenged Franken ballots, almost all of which will go Franken's way; then we'll get to challenged Coleman ballots, again, almost all of which will go Coleman's way.
Problem? Franken is estimated to pick up 430 from the challenged pile and Coleman only 385.