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November 04, 2008

Barone: "WPEs" in Virginia Show That Obama's Actual Numbers Ten Points Worse Than Exit Polls

Other states also show him lagging the polls, but not to that extent. In Florida, it's around 4%.


Explaining that WPEs in PA still showed Obama comfortably ahead. Supposedly, the tallies from the counties where they've gotten actual votes are close enough to exit polls that they think they can call it... with a 1 in 250 chance of being outside-the-margin-of-error wrong.

WPEs: Are "Within precinct error." It's the comparison between exit polls in polled precincts to actual votes.






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