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July 17, 2008

Global Warming Hoax is Slowly Coming Apart

I suspect that we'll look back on this year as the tipping point when the theory of anthropogenic global warming begins to go the way of the dodo. Aside from the mountain of contradictory scientific data, the theory was just too convenient. People want to believe that they are the most important things on the planet. Like the old geocentric model of the universe, anthropogenic global warming places humans at the center of everything.

But the times are, well, as changeable as the weather. Here's the latest in global warming news:

First, David Evans, formerly of the Australian Greenhouse Office has become a skeptic.

When I started that job in 1999 the evidence that carbon emissions caused global warming seemed pretty good: CO2 is a greenhouse gas, the old ice core data, no other suspects.

The evidence was not conclusive, but why wait until we were certain when it appeared we needed to act quickly? Soon government and the scientific community were working together and lots of science research jobs were created. We scientists had political support, the ear of government, big budgets, and we felt fairly important and useful (well, I did anyway). It was great. We were working to save the planet.

But since 1999 new evidence has seriously weakened the case that carbon emissions are the main cause of global warming, and by 2007 the evidence was pretty conclusive that carbon played only a minor role and was not the main cause of the recent global warming. As Lord Keynes famously said, "When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?"

He goes on to discuss four inconvenient truths about carbon dioxide: (1) scientists can't find its "greenhouse signature" in the atmosphere, so they're fudging the data; (2) nor have they actually observed carbon emissions having an effect on global temperature; (3) measurement of global temperature is seriously flawed; and (4) Al Gore's much ballyhooed arctic ice cores do not show what he says they show. Read the whole thing.

Second, the American Physical Society has acknowledged that there is "considerable presence within the scientific community" of anthropogenic global warming skeptics. APS is an organization of physicists, not atmospheric scientists, but it is nice to see them having the debate. No matter how much they try, global warming alarmists cannot credibly claim that the science is settled.

Third, the idea that the Sun has a more important role on climate than was previously thought is gaining attention. Recently, the Sun has displayed unusually low levels of sunspot activity. There is some conjecture that this will lead to a cooling trend on Earth. The latest news is that the solar flux is at a near record low. I have no idea what that means, but I liked this observation:

Expert forecasts that have called for the sun to be regularly active by now have been falsified by nature, and the question of the day is: how long before the sun becomes active again?

Calling to the sun? They sound more like sun shamans than experts to me.


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posted by Gabriel Malor at 12:36 PM

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