Totten's "The Final Mission" | Main | Claim: Rudy To Drop Out, Endorse McCain Tomorrow
January 29, 2008

Exit Polls/Florida Results Trickling In

McCain Wins? The Romney camp is offering the spin that Mitt managed a "stunning comback" after a ten point deficit a week ago.

Which is code, I take it, for the likelihood McCain will win. With almost half the vote in, McCain leads by 3%. I imagine his lead is largely due to independents registering as Republicans in the past several weeks, as there is no real Democratic contest there. (The DNC stripped Florida of its delegates as a punishment for moving up its primary.)

Romney can still pull this out, even without Florida. But it's obviously tough sledding.

After Mega Tuesday, we're probably going to have to make a very difficult decision.

Very sketchy results at the moment. I just posted that Romney was up by 0.5%, now I see Drudge has McCain up by 2.0%.

Prof. Rusty Shackleford emails me an interesting outcome: No winner in Florida until after Mega Tuesday. If the race is close enough, and if every absentee ballot needs to be counted, and if enough districts in Florida allow fairly late postmarking to count... well, you can see what I'm driving at.

Results... Precinct by precinct. Not enough there to figure much out. (Link fixed, thanks to AliceH.)

Fred Thompson's getting 1.4%. Aaarggh.

More: Sixty percent of GOP primary voters self-identify as conservative. That's up 10% from 1992 when only half did.

Exit polls mean very little, of course. But for what it's worth.

The first wave of exit poll numbers, including absentees: McCain 34.3 percent, Romney 32.6 percent, Giuliani 15.3 percent, Huckabee 12 percent.

Including absentees? I guess they just poll people and ask if they've voted absentee.

There are still two hours of polling. So vote -- against McCain. Sorry, but even if he's to be our nominee, I'd like to at least force Mr. Straight Talk to pander to win.

A nice start would be a vow not to consider Comprehensive Piece of Shit his first term. Any realistic plan of "securing the borders" would take three years, minimum, even assuming McCain worked at hard (which is daft assumption), so a four year promise isn't even inconsistent with his current position.

If he means it, that is.

Lowry Hears McCain 33, Romney 32... whic is slightly better. But then, these polls are going to be off at at least 4 or 5% both ways, so these differences are pretty trivial.

Updates: Conservative turnout high, absentees breaking by six points for Mitt? so says the Binary Beta Male.

Partisan Radio Talk Show Raises Questions of Faulty Voter Technology, "Disenfranchisement," Double-Voting: Relax, it's Limbaugh having trouble with his touch-screen voting booth.

He may have voted twice. I'm sure there'll be Congressional investigations into this by week's end.

This electronic voting is idiotic, by the way.

Thanks to Alice H. for that.

digg this
posted by Ace at 08:59 PM

| Access Comments

Recent Comments
Hikaru: "Mostly, I just don't want Al-Waleed Bin-Talal let ..."

Mr. Peebles: "The Democrat Party is doing two things:-Claiming c ..."

Long Kim Jong: "I heah about Brue Rave, so I bring mug and right s ..."

rhennigantx: "I say shut down immigration until there are less t ..."

eleven: "[i]30 BTW - the best term I've heard for the Never ..."

Charlotte the sailor: "Top 40? YEAH!!! Good morning, everyone. Hop ..."

never enough caffeine: "Going to cut Senator Graham a bit of slack here du ..."

saf: "Lonely days and lonely nights in the Arabian Night ..."

TheQuietMan: "Alec Baldwin talk show debuts as Sunday's lowest-r ..."

Mikey NTH - No Consigliere? Can't Nuke From Orbit? Restock Your Cliches at The Outrage Outlet!: "BTW - the best term I've heard for the NeverTrump ..."

MAGA: "TRUMP! ..."

Kemp: "who not how.  ..."

Recent Entries

Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64