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January 01, 2008
Final Des Moines Register Poll: Huck and Obama Lead
Two days until the Iowa Caucus and the latest poll shows Huck holding on to his lead 32%-26%. That is pretty much where they were in the paper’s last poll in November. Coming in third at 13% is The Maverick while Fred is tied with Ron Paul! at 9%.
The poll was conducted between last Thursday and Sunday (27th-30th), so it encompasses the early part Fred’s bus tour.
I think the biggest surprise is that McCain’s NH and national revival is being reflected in Iowa. I don’t think he’s campaigned there as much as others and when he does he gleefully points out he’s against Ethanol subsidies (that’s the good Maverick).
On the Democratic side, Obama is up to 32% support to Hillary’s 25% and Silky’s 24%. That means Obama has gained 4% from the last poll with the others have remained at the same levels.
BTW- If you are interested in the mechanics of a caucus, check out the Register's primer.
UPDATE: The Worldwidestandard.com says the DMR poll is something of an outlier but was the most accurate poll in 04.
A new CNN poll shows Romney in front of Huck and Fred ahead of Maverick.
Romney leads Huckabee 32%- 29%, with Thompson leading the second division with a distant 13%. On the Democratic side, it's Clinton 33%, Obama 31% and the angry populist at 22%.
posted by DrewM. at
12:44 PM
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