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January 01, 2008

Final Des Moines Register Poll: Huck and Obama Lead

Two days until the Iowa Caucus and the latest poll shows Huck holding on to his lead 32%-26%. That is pretty much where they were in the paperís last poll in November. Coming in third at 13% is The Maverick while Fred is tied with Ron Paul! at 9%.

The poll was conducted between last Thursday and Sunday (27th-30th), so it encompasses the early part Fredís bus tour.

I think the biggest surprise is that McCainís NH and national revival is being reflected in Iowa. I donít think heís campaigned there as much as others and when he does he gleefully points out heís against Ethanol subsidies (thatís the good Maverick).

On the Democratic side, Obama is up to 32% support to Hillaryís 25% and Silkyís 24%. That means Obama has gained 4% from the last poll with the others have remained at the same levels.

BTW- If you are interested in the mechanics of a caucus, check out the Register's primer.

UPDATE: The Worldwidestandard.com says the DMR poll is something of an outlier but was the most accurate poll in 04.

A new CNN poll shows Romney in front of Huck and Fred ahead of Maverick.

Romney leads Huckabee 32%- 29%, with Thompson leading the second division with a distant 13%. On the Democratic side, it's Clinton 33%, Obama 31% and the angry populist at 22%.


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posted by DrewM. at 12:44 PM

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