Insurgent Attack Goes Terribly Wrong (Right) | Main | "Drive" Review
April 16, 2007

McCain Cuts Giuliani's Lead From 16 To 6; Edge Narrows Even More If Thompson and Gingrich Enter Race

Romney drops to fourth place. But note the survey composition, which is sketchy.

- Sen. John McCain has slashed Rudy Giuliani's double-digit lead by 10 points, but the GOP picture gets muddier if former Sen. Fred Thompson or former House Speaker Newt Gingrich enters the race, according to a CNN poll gauging the popularity of 2008 presidential hopefuls.

Giuliani, the former New York mayor, had a healthy 16-point lead over the Arizona senator last month, but that has dwindled to six points -- that is, if either Thompson or Gingrich enters the race.

Should they both toss their hats in the ring, Giuliani's lead over McCain drops to three points, 27 percent to 24 percent.

Analysts say McCain may have been buoyed by an April 11 speech at the Virginia Military Institute, in which he declared full support for President Bush's plan to send additional troops to Iraq. Giuliani may have taken a hit in the polls as questions continue to arise about his stances on abortion, gay rights and gun rights.

The CNN poll was conducted Tuesday through Thursday by Opinion Research Corp. Pollsters quizzed 1,218 registered voters, including 498 who call themselves Democrats or Democratic-leaning independents and 368 Republicans or Republican-leaning independents.

The Democratic survey has a sampling error of 4 percentage points; the GOP survey's sampling error is 5 percentage points.

They quizzed a mere 368 "Republicans," which includes Republican-leaning independents? Since the entire survey skews left, pardon me for suspecting the Republican subsample skews left as well.

The poll shows that voters would give substantial support to Thompson or Gingrich if they decided to enter.

Thompson, a former senator from Tennessee who has played a district attorney on three episodes of NBC's "Law & Order," would snare 11 percent of the vote (12 percent if Gingrich decides not to enter) if he announced a 2008 presidential bid.

Gingrich, on the other hand, would take 8 percent of the vote (10 percent without Thompson in the race) if he entered the running.

...

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who led Republican hopefuls in first-quarter fundraising with $23 million, slid into the No. 4 spot -- between Thompson and Gingrich -- with 10 percent of the vote.

For his part, Romney is leading in still-influential-but-not-quite-as-much-now Iowa, followed by McCain.

Giuliani, incidentally, picked up a $2100 contribution from Adam Sandler (near the bottom of the article). Just mentioned because Sandler's politics have occasionally been grist for discussion. Not that this proves all that much either way.

Thanks to DaveP. for the last bit.


digg this
posted by Ace at 11:58 AM

| Access Comments




Recent Comments
Zod: ">>I can still hear that +20 years after visiting D ..."

Warai-otoko: "Re: Philly nonsense... Tell em to eff off. It' ..."

bluebell ~ now we're cookin'!: "Be sure to drink your Ovaltine Posted by: TheQuie ..."

TheQuietMan: "Rob 'crooked Democrat' Emanuel is thumbing his nos ..."

Puddleglum: "[i]99 Recall I posted a link that the Philly city ..."

TheQuietMan: " Random, you want to tell them what the puzzle say ..."

Zod: ">>I can't tell anyone else but my husband because ..."

Captain Hate: "[i]Of course, he needs to be innocent to pull this ..."

J.J. Sefton: " 114 And unfortunately, over the years, far too ..."

bjstuggzzz: "I'm really excited about this victory in a war I h ..."

Stringer Davis [/i][/b]: "The greatest shooter in history left the range, la ..."

bluebell ~ now we're cookin'!: "JJ, would you mind adding that the winnah is rando ..."

Recent Entries
Search


MuNuvians
Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
News/Chat
Archives
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64