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And So This is Christmas (Politically Speaking) »
November 02, 2004
Bad News from Larry Sabato: No Incumbent Has Ever Won After Being Tied in the Polls Before Election Day
But then, with the Red Sox sweeping the World Series, this may be the year of making history.
Sabato comes up with a final EV tally of 269-269-- a tie, and an election ultimately to be settled in the House of Representatives. But he seems to think Bush will be lucky to manage that.
On the other hand, if Bush holds Ohio and Florida, he says it won't even be close.