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October 18, 2004

Real Clear Politics: Bush Leads Electoral Count, But He's Not Over 270

I'm just posting this because I love the way all that red looks.

There are a couple of unwelcome surprises there. New Hampshire is now in Kerry's column, and Ohio is slightly leaning towards Kerry (although so slightly that RCP calls it a toss-up). Minnesota, which ought to be getable and could shatter Kerry's hopes by going for Bush, nevertheless remains a blue state.

On the other hand, it appears as though Bush could afford to lose Ohio-- but only if he picks up toss-ups Wisconsin and Iowa. I wouldn't bet the farm on that, but it's nice to know there's an out if Bush doesn't pick up the Ohio card.

The Iowa Electronic Markets continue showing a belief in Bush's odds.

posted by Ace at 03:20 AM

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Minnesota, which ought to be getable and could shatter Kerry's hopes by going for Bush, nevertheless remains a blue state. On the other hand, it appears as though Bush could afford to lose Ohio-- but only if he picks up toss-ups Wisconsin and Iowa. I wouldn't bet the farm on that, but it's nice to know there's an out if Bush doesn't pick up the Ohio card. The Iowa Electronic Markets continue showing a belief in Bush's odds. posted by Ace at 03:20 AM \| Access Comments <script language="javascript" src="http://adserver.adtechus.com/addyn/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=700;cookie=info;target=_blank;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]"></script><noscript><a href="http://adserver.adtechus.com/adlink/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=300;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]" target="_blank"><img src="http://adserver.adtechus.com/adserv/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=300;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]" border="0" width="300" height="250"></a></noscript>	Recent Comments whig: "Hack #IRNA: 'Horrible hours for the Ayatollahs' re ..." Berserker-Dragonheads Division : " 1h 🚨 BREAKING: Houthi movement announces ..." runner: "oh, no, Bahrain got hit.. ..." runner: "BREAKING: Houthi movement announces the closure of ..." Alteria Pilgram - My President has convictions.: "For regime change to occur without massive boots o ..." 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