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October 10, 2004
Going Into the Fourth Quarter with a Four-Point Lead
Don't accuse me of breaking open the champagne. I'm not. I don't even like champagne.
Everyone knows what the polls say and what I'm going to say is freaking obvious, but I'm going to say it anyway, because it's pleasing to say.
Even after the very best debate performance John Kerry could have hoped for, and the worst performance from Bush he could have wished for, the man still seems to be behind by 3 or 4 points. This new ABCNews polls says 4.
Whatever it is from 1 to 4 points -- Bush has a persistent, thusfar unerodable advantage over Kerry, and he can't seem to lose that advantage, even when he very nearly tries to.