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September 20, 2004

A Dukakian Fall III: A Dukakian Fall With a Vengeance

Bipartisan "Battleground" Poll Puts John Kerry Below 40%

STUDY #9936 THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. and LAKE SNELL PERRY N = 250 per day of registered “likely” voters Field Dates: September 12 –16, 2004

1. If the election for President were held today, and you had to make a choice, for which candidate would you probably vote?
(DO NOT READ NAMES, JUST RECORD)

George W. Bush 46%
John Kerry 39%
Ralph Nader 1%
NAMED OTHER 1%
UNSURE 14%

Here. You have to download an MSWord file (hopefully not forged) to read the data.

Of course, all hope is not lost. As The Unabrewer tips me, John Kerry is still ahead in New York... by five whole points.

And in Maryland -- one of the staunchest Democratic bastions there is -- he's comfortably in a 48-48 tie with Bush.


I don't want to say that John Kerry is unelectable, but he couldn't get elected warden in monkey-prison with a wheelbarrow full of bananas and a lenient policy on excrement-flingin'.

Update! And now Bush four points ahead in... Oregon?

The only problem with a real blow-out is that it doesn't hurt to be blown out. When you get trounced, you know that no particular error you made, or flaw in your strategy, could have possibly helped you. You just throw your hands up and say, "Eh. Nothing I could have done."

On the other hand, there's Al Gore.

Thanks to Terry Notus for the Oregon tip.


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posted by Ace at 06:26 PM

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