Intermarkets' Privacy Policy

Donate to Ace of Spades HQ!

Recent Entries
Absent Friends
Bandersnatch 2024
GnuBreed 2024
Captain Hate 2023
moon_over_vermont 2023
westminsterdogshow 2023
Ann Wilson(Empire1) 2022
Dave In Texas 2022
Jesse in D.C. 2022
OregonMuse 2022
redc1c4 2021
Tami 2021
Chavez the Hugo 2020
Ibguy 2020
Rickl 2019
Joffen 2014
AoSHQ Writers Group
A site for members of the Horde to post their stories seeking beta readers, editing help, brainstorming, and story ideas. Also to share links to potential publishing outlets, writing help sites, and videos posting tips to get published. Contact OrangeEnt for info:
maildrop62 at proton dot me
Cutting The Cord And Email Security
Moron Meet-Ups

« Percentage of Single Women In Their Thirties to Hit All-Time High | Main | Bill Melugin: Groups Comprised of Nothing but Men from Iran, Pakistan, China, and Turkey Are Now Slipping Past Our Border, With Nary a Mexican in Sight »
May 22, 2024

The Torricelli Option Is On the Table: Leftwing Bloomberg Begins Polling Trump v. Kamala Harris, Anticipating a Biden Departure


Obviously, Trump thumps Kumala.

But why even ask? What are they hearing?

One number I don't like is the tie in Nevada (between Trump and Biden, not Kumala). They're tied at 47%-- but then Trump goes out to a five point lead when RFKJr. and "others" are included. Trump is definitely losing some of his blue-collar white former-Democrat voters to RFKJr.


Former President Donald Trump is leading Joe Biden in key battleground states, according to the latest Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll. Voters overwhelmingly trust Trump to handle the economy and immigration over Biden.

Key Details:

Trump leads Biden in Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada, Arizona, Wisconsin, and North Carolina.

Top voter issues: economy (35%) and immigration (14%).

Voters trust Trump more on the economy (50% vs. 37%) and immigration (51% vs. 34%).


I don't expect that publicizing this will win back Trump-to-RFKJr. voters, because they're Democrats and probably don't like the Tea Party.

Jim Geraghty considers Biden's line that #ThePollsAreSkewed and wonders: But if they're not skewed...?

Biden's up by a percentage point in Michigan, 46 percent to 45 percent. Perhaps the best news for the president is that this survey shows a tie in Nevada, where previous polling has had Trump ahead, sometimes by a wide margin.

But at the very end of the article, it reads, "The statistical margin of error is plus or minus 1 percentage point across the seven states; 3 percentage points in Arizona, Georgia and Pennsylvania; 4 percentage points in Michigan, North Carolina, and Wisconsin, and 5 percentage points in Nevada."

Ah. So they barely called any Nevada voters, and the MOE Is large.

He recaps the Biden spin that the polls are skewed, and the claim that there's a Secret Surge for Scranton Joe that the media are hiding.

Does that sound right to you? That the press doesn't want to write about a Democratic incumbent having momentum against Donald Trump?

Now, both nationally and in swing states, there are a lot of pollsters in business. Indisputably, some are better than others. And you can definitely find outliers that have Biden in better shape here and there.

But every pollster has Biden's job-approval rating in lousy shape. This morning, the new national Reuters-Ipsos poll "showed just 36 percent of Americans approve of Biden's job performance as president, down from 38 percent in April. It was a return to the lowest approval rating of his presidency, last seen in July 2022."

If only a bit more than a third of Americans think Biden is doing a good job, would you expect him to have a lot of momentum in the presidential race? Yes, Trump is a deeply flawed candidate, but he's also the most likely alternative.

Ezra Klein is among those on the left side of the aisle trying to sound the alarm for the Biden campaign: "To the extent polls have been wrong in recent presidential elections, they've been wrong because they've been biased toward Democrats. Trump ran stronger in 2016 and 2020 than polls predicted."

Is Biden campaigning like a guy who's well ahead? Maybe Biden's latest round of race demagoguery is standard-issue for the man who told African Americans that Mitt Romney was going to put them back in chains. Does cutting off aid to Israel seem like the kind of move you make when everything's going well? Does the administration's obsession with forgiving student-loan debt suggest confidence in the likely turnout among young voters?

I know that poll posts are as disliked as Disney posts. I'll post another one more quickly than usual.

digg this
posted by Disinformation Expert Ace at 02:25 PM

| Access Comments

Recent Comments
Soothsayer: " lulz: white house spokescunt says all the vid ..."

Grumpy and Recalcitrant: "@161/Miklos: [i]"I read that in an Interpretive D ..."

tubal: "Avoid ANY pastor whose sermons do not keep The Mai ..."

Common Tater: "They don’t make those guys drive around solo ..."

diffusive: "What's up to еvery one, as I am actuallʍ ..."

Unknown Drip Under Pressure: "[i]Thanks for the info. I did not know that aside. ..."

The Supreme Court: ""Seems kind of insurrectiony to me, to ignore the ..."

[/i]blaster: "I feel like this next year shit will get real. ..."

European Union: "367 Of course, they will lose their minds when in ..."

FenelonSpoke: "Posted by: Dash my lace wigs! at June 17, 2024 07: ..."

gp's Uncured Ballot Soppressata: ""avoid pastors of Mega Churches." Read and inte ..."

Rbastid: "Liberals are running around screaming that every v ..."

Recent Entries

Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64