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« Daily Tech News 6 February 2023 | Main | Mid-Morning Art Thread »
February 06, 2023

The Morning Report — 2/6/23

joefingerfuck.jpg

Good morning kids. So, tomorrow's State of the Union speech, if it isn't some sort of deep fake Max Headroom AI version of Sponge-Brain Shit's Pants in front of Congress, is sure to feature two themes: Donald Trump and anyone who voted for him is evil and a cancer to be eradicated, and the Chinese spy balloon is the fault of Donald Trump as well as the millions of us who put him in office – twice.

Aside from those themes, you can bet your bottom dollar, which is probably a quadruple-entendre given who is running the country (into the ground), that John Meacham, Michael Beschloss or whichever gag writer-cum-historian poseur wrote the thing will provide a laundry list of accomplishments that will paint this demented criminal pervert as the greatest president in history. Speaking of bottoms, just ask Peter-Puffer Buttigieg, whose successes include being AWOL during a continuing supply chain disaster, a near-crippling rail strike and a definitely crippling shutdown of commercial aviation a couple weeks ago is doing just that.

Of course, he along with every other inept, incompetent globalist Deep State flunky in the cabinet, get downright belligerent if the media allows any form of criticism to be hurled at the them during their generally Potemkin Village press conferences. But, I digress.

72 hours later and even in the face of all the other horrors and depredations inflicted on this great nation in the past two years (plus that other "gift" from China in the form of a Frankenvirus that turned the world upside down the year prior), the notion that a spy balloon from our greatest international enemy was allowed to even cross over into our airspace, let alone float unmolested over our ICBM missile silos in the High Plains is gobsmackingly inconceivable. And as stated, they're now trying to claim this is a nothing-burger because it happened during Trump's tenure and that he knew about it. That is complete and utter horseshit and it's been exploded already. It's almost the same refrain of phony equivocation with Document-gate meant to soften the blow.

As a complete aside, from a military/espionage/reconnaissance standpoint, this balloon is both interesting and terrifying at the same time. On the one hand, given the fact that we, and no doubt the Chi-Coms either have or have access to spy satellites that can read a Bazooka Joe bubblegum wrapper with crystal clear resolution from orbit, what does it mean that they're using balloons? On the other hand, something as primitive as a weather balloon is just the kind of Stone Age low-tech MacGyver kind of thing that could stymie the most sophisticated technology of NORAD.

Of course, given the Chi-Coms fully understand who is running the show here, and that our military has openly declared both "climate change" and "white supremacy" as our greatest threats, this could very well be something meant to probe both our defenses and more crucially our diplomatic resolve. Naturally, with Biden at the helm, we failed. Miserably.

Yet given the level to which the PRC has infiltrated virtually every aspect of our society and our government, and that Joe Biden has spent the past 50-plus years selling every office he ever held to the highest bidder, what is he really going to do to offend his paymasters in Peking? Yeah, I went there. I have no doubt that along with Ukraine, Biden is in the Central Committee's pocket. Of course he's not alone. There are far too many people in our government that have at best questionable and at worst criminal ties to Red China. Not just Dianne Feinstein and the flatulent Fang-Banger Swalwell, but Mitch McConnell via his wife Elaine Chao. Yay! Bipartisanship.

Like every other crime he's been accused of, here too Donald Trump is perhaps the last person anyone could ever accuse of having ties with the Chi-Coms. The fact that he was the first president in over 50 years to try and reverse the corrupt, corrosive influence of "free trade" with China (and others), via tariffs and sane trade policy, earned him the enmity of the Chinese and those who they have in their pocket here at home, that has sucked millions of jobs and entire industries out of our economy, That, in my mind, is probably why the General Tso's Sickness of COVID-19 wound up on our shores. How Trump reacted to it and who he trusted to run the response to it is another matter entirely, and one which is perhaps his biggest demerit as far as I'm concerned in having him be the standard-bearer for 2024. But I digress.

As we discussed over the past few podcasts, China's crashing birthrate, coupled with rising civil discontent brought about by the regime's handling of the COVID virus, and a crashing economy has, as my esteemed colleague and co-blogger Joe Mannix asserts (and I agree) put a premature end to what was until very recently touted as the 21st being the Chinese Century. Yet, Xi and his cronies are not going to just lick their wounds and back away from the table. They are still quite capable of not only projecting power but, given the fact that we have utterly incompetent leadership in this nation, maneuvering us into doing their bidding probably without even firing a shot. Or having a military capability so horribly degraded that any response will be doomed to fail.

What we are witnessing in Ukraine, and perhaps in a future conflict in Taiwan, is a new model for fighting Cold War 2, one in which the belligerents tacitly agree to fight but only within designated foreign borders. The process of delimiting the allowable combat area has so far been a complex exercise in signaling. For example, former Russian president Dmitry Medvedev recently tried to draw some Red Lines: “If Ukraine tries to strike at Crimea, there will be retaliatory strikes, all Ukraine remaining under Kyiv’s rule will burn. The response in the event of strikes in the Crimea and deep into Russia will be quick, tough and convincing. Russia does not set itself any restrictions in the form of a response to attacks, depending on the nature of the threats, it is ready to use all types of weapons. Those who argue that sending weapons to Ukraine will help start negotiations are wrong, the result will be just the opposite.”

But he’s kidding no one. Everything is negotiated. Russia has manifestly set restrictions on itself by not attacking NATO sovereign territory, just as NATO has implicitly discouraged Kyiv from striking targets on Russian territory, except when they are directly linked to attacks on Ukraine. Both sides are fighting under implicitly negotiated rules of engagement, which to the extent they  are understood and mutually accepted, have limited escalation so far.

Washington is probably hoping to apply the same framework to the looming conflict with China over Taiwan, which Pentagon leaks indicate may happen by 2025. The area of operations is likely to encompass the Philippines, the Solomon Islands, and indeed any sea/land space in the First Island Chain. A USAF memo defined U.S. defense preparation as “a fortified, ready, integrated, and agile Joint Force Maneuver Team ready to fight and win inside the first island chain.” Implied in this formulation is the unspoken corollary: the Quad Alliance hopes to prevent war from spreading outside the First Island Chain to Guam, Hawaii, Japan, India, and Australia — in the same way that warfare may not spread to NATO countries, at least not without lighting the nuclear fuse.

This desire to preserve distinctions may have played a part in the Biden [junta's] reluctance to shoot down a Chinese high-altitude reconnaissance balloon recently spotted above the central United States. Forbearance signals not only what America will do, but it also defines what the administration expects China to do. With China and the space above it thronged with U.S. reconnaissance platforms, Biden may have decided to let the balloon slide for as long as he could rather than give Beijing an excuse to retaliate against a far more valuable American platform.

I'm a big fan of Richard Fernandez but I think he gives way too much credit for Biden and his flunkies to be playing some sort of 11-dimensional chess when in point of frightening fact they don't know their ass from their elbow. But as far as China lashing out, given their current situation, and ours, a move on Taiwan makes more and more sense, if for no other reason than to pacify/distract a restless populace. Plus, Taiwan has always been a sore point with them going back 70 years and along with global hegemony, the retaking of that island has been a central goal of the Chi-Coms since the took over the mainland in 1949.

I mentioned on the latest podcast the fact that the Iran has sent warships out of the Gulf to cruise around the waters near the Panama Canal. No doubt their navy, compared to ours even in the degraded state it's in, is still a joke. But the fact that we allow them to even do this sends the absolute wrong message about our resolve. Meh, we've been trying to give them atomic weapons going back to the original Obama reign of error, so what's the surprise? But, look at Central and South America these days and the "domino effect" is in full force. Iran and Venezuela have had close ties going as far back as Hugo Chavez with even fears of a missile base being constructed along the Caribbean coast. Anyone up for Bay of Pigs 2: Allen Dulles Boogaloo? Hell, we have a wide open and non-existent southern border where anyone can come through, and has. And I don't mean illiterate mestizo peasants headed for the Ernest and Julio Gallo vineyards either.

The figurehead of the United States of America is a doddering dementia patient who shakes hands with invisible people and has to be led around by his wife, while at the same time, our diplomats and top military brass are itching to go to war with half the American people who refuse to accept that men can have babies.

"Weakness is provocative." And here comes Xi with the Pelosi hammer and a gallon jug of Astroglide.

    ABOVE THE FOLD, BREAKING, NOTEWORTHY

  • "Benjamin Franklin’s famous warning links government to the character of the people."
    Franklin’s Warning: A Republic . . . If You Can Keep It
  • "What else is the U.S. government using to monitor its citizens while mobilizing against domestic targets who have done nothing wrong?"
    By Exposing Hamilton 68, the ‘Twitter Files’ Proved the Deep State is a Weapon Aimed Directly at You
  • Victor Davis Hanson: "Are the borders of country 5,000 miles away more sacrosanct and more worth taking existential risks than our own airspace and southern border?"
    Ukrainian Paradoxes
  • Richard Fernandez: "With China and the space above it thronged with U.S. reconnaissance platforms, Biden may have decided to let the balloon slide for as long as he could rather than give Beijing an excuse to retaliate against a far more valuable American platform. . . A move by Beijing against any other part of the First Island Chain will risk a direct confrontation between the great powers to a degree far greater than in Eastern Europe."
    Cold War 2 in Paradise


NOTE: The opinions expressed in the links may or may not reflect my own. I include them because of their relevance to the discussion of a particular issue.

ALSO: The Morning Report is cross-posted at CutJibNewsletter.com if you want to continue the conversation all day.

Follow us on Twitter: @CutJibNews
Follow us on Instagram: @Cutjibnewsletter

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posted by J.J. Sefton at 07:07 AM

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